Understanding Uganda's Election results 2016

Dr Kiggundu announced results of 26,223 PS (polling stations) and leavingout 1,787 polling stations.

With 15,277,198 registered voters, a PS has on average 545 voters.

1,787 PS on average have 974,664 registered voters with an assumption that this number can go up or down depending on which districts are affected most. (Kampala has 1,338 with only 1,014,294 voters so u can see what I mean).

The left out voters constitute a 6.4% of the registered voters that if am to borrow Kiggundu’s statement (Giving this number to Besigye wouldn’t affect the winner), adding the 6.4% to KB would bring his percentage to averagely 42% and bringing Museveni‘s to 53%.

Now here is the trick that comes with numbers.

If I really want to have a serious effect on those numbers, I only take out districts and polling stations that can give KB a serious margin. It’s at this point that I want you to look at the most affected districts in eliminated PSs.

Jinja only reported 11 out 399 PS leaving 388 PSs out

Rukungiri only reported 3 out of 276 PS leaving out 273

Kyenjojo only reported 60 out of 337 PS leaving out 277

Kampala left out 162, Kabale left out 190, Wakiso left out 119.

Jinja, Kampala, Wakiso and Kabale and high populous district that can project eliminated voters to be of significance and also believed to give opposition strength to bring down the 60% to a below 55% at a fair level.

Questions.

Why did Kiggundu’s commission leave out these PSs? Was it a strategic move to keep the NRM house happy that they won with a high percentage by eliminating those PSs where KB is believed to have performed good?

Were they trying to catch up with NRM opinion polls of a 70%?

Who is to blame for this level of incompetence at the district level